I intend to make predictions and to discuss forecasting methods. The predictions might be about the near future, about the next few billion years, or anywhere in between.

Commenting is turned on, so you can play along. Commenting rules: 1) Be reasonably polite to me and to other commenters. I am the judge of what’s reasonably polite. 2) Don’t sneer at other people’s predictions till they’ve been proven false. That means: It was supposed to happen by now, and it hasn’t. It does not mean: experts, columnists, divine revelation, or Ann Coulter say it won’t happen. 3) Don’t use your post as an excuse to sell your products or services. A mention in your sigfile is okay, so long as you’re actually responding to what you comment on.


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